Saturday, June 27, 2009

Budget blues for Nifty

The Nifty last week went in a trading range. On the weekly charts it has give a hammer - but such a candle has no major meaning as it does not occur at the end of a down move.

But the Nifty chart is suggestive that the current rise in indices is corrective in nature.



The Volumes are not supporting the rise while the MACD too indicates a low 'momentum'. The conclusion could then be that the upmove in the next week near to 4400-4440 should be corrective and an opportunity for us to lighten our positions.

More so as the forthcoming budget seems to be a tough one for our FM especially in a scenario of global recession, world wide protectionism , rising stock markets, falling rupee, falling inflation and rising prices !!!! (wooops)

And hey !! do my readers also see something else ?? a pattern may be ??
(More of it next week)

Till then - Enjoy the weekend!

CA Rajiv D Khatlawala
Head of Research & Training
JHAVERI Securities Ltd.

2 comments:

Unknown said...

a perfect head and shoulder neckline pattern may be in the process of making for a steep downward slide ?
give your opinion !

krunal shah said...

what an level 4440 & thats an exact high on 30th & mkt fell of around 130points....gr8 analysis & i am a regular of your blog.thank u so much...