Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Nickel (MCX) - nearing breakout!

Metals have been on a roll.. Copper , Zinc, Aluminium et al have been in positive for some time.

This led me to check out the one time favorite of commodity traders - NICKEL.

The price of the commodity on MCX has fallen from Rs 1400 in Mar 2008 to sub Rs 450 levels in Jan 09 - a huge fall in less than a year.

However recently the metal has been consolidating in a Rs 200 range of Rs 450 on lower side and Rs 650 on higher side. An upward break out is the most probable event. We can see a 'bottoming out' formation on the charts with multiple bottoms at Rs 450.



On break out of Rs 670 especially on close - expect a short term target of Rs 810 + and a medium term target of Rs 925+.... Keep stoploss at Rs 575 on closing level.

Happy trading!!
CA Rajiv D Khatlawala
Head of Research & Training
JHAVERI Securities Ltd.

2 comments:

Rishi said...

Rajiv, we had multiple days of closing above 670 but Nickel seems to be stuck in a rut and not moving...maybe another patience play like EKC and Crude? what are the timeframes that we are targetting...

Rishi said...

Rajiv, a pretty sharp decline in Nickel and all other commodities as well....patterns still valid? anything else to consider?