Generally the USD INR goes in the opposite direction of the Indices (though this inverse relation may not be on a daily basis) . Hence we may expect that the USD will weaken - the Rupee would appreciate.
The chart suggests that there is strong resistance at Rs 49.20 levels which may be treated as the stoploss for any short sell positions. Also a break and close below Rs 48/- should give a target near to Rs 46 which is the 50% retracement level. ( The USD INR has already tested the 38.20 retracement earlier)
We shall keep tracking this in days to come.
Happy Trading
CA Rajiv D Khatlawala
Head of Research & Training
Jhaveri Securities Ltd.
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